Elon Musk made some wildly daring claims at the Lex Fridman podcast the previous day. Whilst he’s no doubt no stranger to sensationalism, it’s transparent now that the road between trolling humanity and getting-high-off-his-own provide is blurrier than ever for the arena’s richest guy.
He’s now claiming that the Tesla Robotic may well be an “implausible pal like C3PO or R2D2” and that it’s going to be capable to “broaden a character over the years this is distinctive” as a result of, in keeping with Musk, “it’s now not like several robots are the similar.”
Musk advised Fridman that Tesla would most likely have a “respectable prototype” by means of the tip of subsequent 12 months (2022).
After introducing the “Tesla Robotic” previous this 12 months by means of dressing up a dancer in spandex and trotting them out on level to embarrass themselves, the target audience, and the corporate, Musk claimed the device can be to be had in 2022.
By no means thoughts that businesses akin to Hanson Robotics and Boston Dynamics had been operating within the house for many years or that Amazon, Apple, Google, Samsung, and dozens of different large tech shops have invested masses of billions of bucks in pushing the bounds of human-robot interactions.
Elon Musk’s simply going to… remedy synthetic common intelligence by means of the tip of subsequent 12 months with a crew he’s handiest simply began hiring previously few months.
To place that into standpoint: optimists akin to Ray Kurzweil put a timeline round 2050-2080 for fixing AGI and the overall consensus of the AI group is that it’s more likely to take for much longer than that.
We’ve heard Musk make ridiculous claims like this sooner than. Only some years again, in 2019, he advised all of the international that Tesla used to be at the verge of fixing self-driving and that the corporate would box a minimum of 1,000,000 fully-autonomous robotaxis by means of the tip of 2020.
It’s nearly 2022 and the choice of fully-autonomous automobiles in Tesla’s portfolio is precisely 0.
And despite the fact that Tesla may remedy fully-autonomous riding sooner than the tip of 2022, which is in doubt, it might nonetheless handiest be a fragment of the way in which in opposition to attaining AGI.
The secret’s that Elon’s ambition is going a long way past the area of generation. Even an ideal genius with limitless investment and get entry to to probably the most proficient AI builders on this planet can’t flip fashionable deep studying algorithms into magical machines able to Superstar Wars-level Droid sentience.
No sum of money can brute pressure human-level AI. And Tesla’s no nearer to creating a common AI than some other corporate in the world – which is to mention we’re more likely to see nuclear fusion, helpful quantum computer systems, and mind implants for wholesome shoppers sooner than Tesla manages to create a human-sized robotic that’s the rest instead of a gimmick.
However, you’ll be able to relaxation confident: if Tesla does organize to persuade shoppers they want a 55-kilogram bipedal device attached to Tesla’s AI instrument rampaging round their properties in 2022, we’ll for sure be masking that right here at Neural.